Charles Payne and Cameron Dawson discuss a Gallup poll showing 50% of respondents expect the stock market to go up. Dawson warns against "crowded consensus," stating that when everyone agrees that nothing bad can happen, it's essential to imagine potential risks. She outlines her base case for 2026, predicting lower and choppier returns due to midterm election seasonality, a mature bull market, high valuations, and elevated earnings growth estimates.